what is outbreak investigation

Whichever decision you make, you may be right or you may be wrong. (35) Specifically, the epidemic curve indicated that the outbreak was basically over, because no new case had been reported in the previous two weeks. They are often helpful in explaining why an outbreak occurred. A good field investigator must be a good manager and collaborator as well as a good epidemiologist, because most investigations are conducted by a team rather than just one individual. MacDonald KL, Spengler RF, Hatheway CL, Hargrett NT, Cohen ML. A p-value this small indicates that the null hypothesis is highly improbable, and the investigators rejected the null hypothesis. Generally, an exposure that has the following three characteristics or criteria is considered a strong suspect: Relative and attributable risk. As noted above, the epidemic curve shows where you are in the natural course of the epidemic. and what can we do about it?. The strategy of being more inclusive early on is especially useful in investigations that require travel to different hospitals, homes, or other sites to gather information, because collecting extra data while you are there is more efficient than having to return a second time. used throughout the investigation instead of the case's name. It may affect a small and localized group or impact upon thousands of people across an entire continent. (35), Sometimes a more specific control group is needed to test a more specific hypothesis. Investigation of bioterrorism-related anthrax, United States, 2001: epidemiologic findings. The case definition may be restricted by time (for example, to persons with onset of illness within the past 2 months), by place (for example, to residents of the nine-county area or to employees of a particular plant) and by person (for example, to persons with no previous history of a positive tuberculin skin test, or to premenopausal women). Description: Map showing the counties of Wisconsin. Note that while this approach is typical in the United States, some countries prefer to acquire laboratory samples from every affected person, and only those with a positive laboratory test are counted as true cases. Recommendation CDC has announced the outbreak is over. PDF Case Finding and Line Listing: A Guide for Investigators Description: Name: Clifton, R; Age: 46; Phone: 555-2110; Address: 361 Chander St., Springdale, VA; County: Columbia; Sex: Male; Race: White; Disease: Lyme Disease; Date of Onset: 8/1/2006; Lab Confirmed? In this section, students use research, engineering, and communication strategies to respond to outbreak scenarios like a disease detective. The case definition must not include the exposure or risk factor you are interested in evaluating. Occasionally, you may be asked to draw an epidemic curve when you dont know either the disease or its incubation time. Although the next conceptual step in an investigation is formulating hypotheses, in reality, investigators usually begin to generate hypotheses at the time of the initial telephone call. Classifications such as confirmed-probable-possible are helpful because they provide flexibility to the investigators. Communitywide outbreak of Legionnaires disease associated with a grocery store mist machine. Most of the case-patients were exposed to the item, so that the exposure could explain or account for most, if not all, of the cases. To test the statistical significance of this finding, a chi-square test can be computed using the formula shown earlier. Description: An epi curve shows outbreak and non-outbreak cases of Hepatitis A. Wearing of long pants and sleeves and use of insect repellent are recommended to reduce the risk of Lyme disease and West Nile virus infection. A patient with a communicable disease such as tuberculosis, whether symptomatic or asymptomatic, may be treated with antibiotics both to clear the infection and to reduce the risk of transmission to others. Similarly, to control an outbreak of influenza-like illness in a nursing home, affected residents could be cohorted, that is, put together in a separate area to prevent transmission to others. This is called the risk ratio or the relative risk. New Engl J Med 1992;326:11737. Family of Rudy Farias demands charges, transparency in investigation of J Infect Dis 1992;165:7369. While Jackson (n=11) and Rusk (n=9) Counties had fewer cases than Chippewa, their populations are much smaller, and they turned out to have higher rates of disease. Return to text. A case might be temporarily classified as probable or possible while laboratory results are pending. Some clusters turn out to be true outbreaks with a common cause, some are sporadic and unrelated cases of the same disease, and others are unrelated cases of similar but unrelated diseases. In addition, investigators must consider logistical issues, such as how to contact potential controls, gain their cooperation, ensure that they are free of disease, and obtain appropriate exposure data from them. A dictionary of epidemiology, 4th ed. An intermittent common-source epidemic (in which exposure to the causative agent is sporadic over time) usually produces an irregularly jagged epidemic curve reflecting the intermittence and duration of exposure and the number of persons exposed. Outbreak Investigations | Georgia Department of Public Health This turned out to be the exact period during which a restaurant employee, diagnosed with hepatitis A in mid-October, would have been shedding virus while still working. Description: Name: Houston, M; Age: 56; Phone: 555-4897; Address: 4890 Pleasant St., Arlington, VA; County: Columbia; Sex: Female; Race: White; Disease: Lyme Disease; Date of Onset: 8/2/2006; Lab Confirmed? Therefore, to test these hypotheses by using analytic epidemiology (see Step 8), specific or tight case definitions are recommended. Sometimes, health agencies respond to small numbers of cases, or even a single case of disease, that may not exceed the expected or usual number of cases. When a group of people become ill at the same time, an investigation that collects information on timing and location of exposures and illnesses (known as an epidemiologic investigation) can help determine where and when the outbreak started and what caused it. The conversations about possible exposures should be open-ended and wide-ranging, not necessarily confined to the known sources and vehicles. Authorities investigating outbreak of Legionella in Fulshear's Bonterra Community. Standard Outbreak Investigation Report medcraveonline.com Linking to a non-federal website does not constitute an endorsement by CDC or any of its employees of the sponsors or the information and products presented on the website. (28) In a line listing, each column represents an important variable, such as name or identification number, age, sex, case classification, etc., while each row represents a different case. The expected number is usually the number from the previous few weeks or months, or from a comparable period during the previous few years. Principles and steps of an outbreak investigation This will allow officials to know what equipment, transportation techniques, and collection procedures to use. Verifying the diagnosis is important: (a) to ensure that the disease has been properly identified, since control measures are often disease-specific; and (b) to rule out laboratory error as the basis for the increase in reported cases. The numbering scheme for this step is problematic, because preparing for field work often is not the first step. Are intervention measures working? Review reports by one or more patients or members of the public Outbreaks of disease the occurrence of more cases than expected occur frequently. Investigators of an outbreak of salmonellosis in The Dalles, Oregon, were stumped when they were able to implicate salad bars in several local restaurants, but could not identify any common ingredients or distribution system. original source of outbreak vehicle. You also need to know what supplies or equipment to bring to protect yourself. For example, in an outbreak of hypervitaminosis D that occurred in Massachusetts in 1991, investigators found that all of the case-patients drank milk delivered to their homes by a local dairy. This step is critical for several reasons. Although teachers and other adult chaperones accompanied the students on both tours, no adult reported illness. A case definition is a standard set of criteria for deciding whether an individual should be classified as having the health condition of interest. Nursing home staff did report that the 2 residents of the south wing who developed pneumonia did spend much of their time in the north wing. If the map shows a cluster or other pattern (such as cases along a road), the investigator must consider possible explanations perhaps water supplies, wind currents, or proximity to a restaurant or grocery. Nash D, Mostashari F, Fine A, Miller J, OLeary D, Murray K, et al. In addition, no illness was reported among students who did not go on the field trip, and no cases of E. coli O157 were reported in the community that week. The investigators asked case-patients and controls how much time they spent in the store and where they went in the store. The classic epidemic curve, such as the one shown in Figure 6.2a from an outbreak of Salmonella enterica serotype Enteritidis, graphs the number of cases by date or time of onset of illness. Outbreak Investigations: Describing the Outbreak. Managing Investigations During an Outbreak | CDC Alternatively, a case may be permanently classified as probable or possible if the patients physician decided not to order the confirmatory laboratory test because the test is expensive, difficult to obtain, or unnecessary. You are not sure if either group of cases is a cluster or an outbreak. An outbreak or epidemic occurs when we see levels of a disease above what is expected. In non-technical terms, a confidence interval for a risk ratio is the range of values of the risk ratio consistent with the data in a study. Description: Name; Rollins, W; Age: 45; Phone: 555-4771; Address: 127 Midland St.; Portland, VA; County: Columbia; Sex: Male; Race: White; Disease: Lyme Disease; Date of Onset: Mid May 2006; Lab Confirmed? A spot map is a simple and useful technique for illustrating where cases live, work, or may have been exposed. ; Help describes the outbreak over time (time), geographical spread (place) and persons affected (persons) to guide decision regarding the first measures to control the outbreak. When describing an outbreak, you will learn who needs to be informed of the . Other investigations, particularly those of a newly recognized disease or syndrome, begin with a relatively specific or narrow case definition. In this module you will learn how an outbreak investigation helps determine the cause of the outbreak and stop the spread of the infection. To interrupt vector borne transmission, measures may be directed toward controlling the vector population, such as spraying to reduce the mosquito population that may carry West Nile virus. Choosing controls. New cases are added to a line listing as they are identified. Case-patients did, controls did not.(37). If you need specialized laboratory work such as confirmation in a reference laboratory, DNA or other chemical or biological fingerprinting, or polymerase chain reaction, you must secure a sufficient number of appropriate specimens, isolates, and other laboratory material as soon as possible. Detection, isolation, and molecular subtyping of. For example, if there were an outbreak of diarrheal disease among preschool aged children, it All of the cases occur within the range of incubation periods expected for a point source exposure. (49) Thus the epidemiologic, environmental, and laboratory arms of the investigation complemented one another, and led to an inescapable conclusion that the well had been contaminated and was the source of the outbreak. You could calculate a p-value that is not less than 0.05 and consequently fail to reject the null hypothesis, which may turn out to be true. Despite the number of cholera outbreaks reported worldwide, few cases are reported each year among returning EU/EEA travellers. Therefore, investigators hypothesized that the dairy was the source and the milk was the vehicle. Description: Name: Turner, L; Age: 13; Phone: 555-1539; Address: 12 Elmwood Rd. Presented at 53rd Annual Epidemic Intelligence Service Conference, April 1923, 2004, Atlanta. The date of onset of the first case was during the week of October 28. These incubation periods can be compared with a list of incubation periods of known diseases to narrow the possibilities. N Engl J Med 1987;316:9938. This confidence interval indicates that the study is consistent with risk ratios for the beef/gastroenteritis association in that range. An epidemic curve that has a steep upslope and a more gradual down slope (a so-called log-normal curve) is characteristic of a point-source epidemic in which persons are exposed to the same source over a relative brief period. The following two-by-two table shows the data for beef and gastroenteritis. Salem, VA; County: Columbia; Sex: Male; Race: black; Disease: Lyme Disease; Date of Onset: 2005; Lab Confirmed? Lesson 6: Investigating an Outbreak - Centers for Disease Control and Scan the column of attack rates among those who ate the specified items and consider the three criteria listed on the previous page. Investigators of a school-based gastroenteritis outbreak might describe occurrence by grade or classroom, and by student versus teacher or other staff. The preparations can be grouped into two broad categories: (a) scientific and investigative issues, and (b) management and operational issues. Good preparation in both categories is needed to facilitate a smooth field experience. Why are some groups with particular age, sex, or other person characteristics at greater risk than other groups with different person characteristics? Perform descriptive epidemiology/develop hypotheses 7. Examples of case report forms are shown in Figure 6.1 (in Exercise 6.5). This condition was characterized by severe myalgias (muscle pains) and an elevated number of a particular type of white blood cell called an eosinophil. Control of communicable diseases manual, 18th ed. Conceptually, control measures come after hypotheses have been confirmed, but in practice control measures are usually implemented as soon as the source and mode of transmission are known, which may be early or late in any particular outbreak investigation. They then conduct a second study, with more closely matched controls, to identify a more specific exposure or vehicle. The chi-square test works well if the number of people in the study is greater than about 30. The affected population had a greater proportion of persons who were black, female, young, and less likely to smoke than persons in a typical Legionnaires outbreak. Type A Clostridium botulinum was then identified from a pan of leftover sauted onions used to make only that particular sandwich.(44). In a cohort study, the investigator contacts each member of the defined population (e.g., wedding guests), determines each persons exposure to possible sources and vehicles (e.g., what food and drinks each guest consumed), and notes whether the person later became ill with the disease in question (e.g., gastroenteritis). From an epidemiologic point of view, hypotheses are evaluated in one of two ways: either by comparing the hypotheses with the established facts or by using analytic epidemiology to quantify relationships and assess the role of chance. (45) However, capitalizing on this unfortunate experiment of nature, investigators continued to follow the patients to determine the persistence of IgM and the prognosis of patients up to two years after infection. CONTROL Outbreak through recalls, facility improvements, and industry . For example, whereas the public health investigation may focus on identifying a pathogen, source, and mode of transmission, a criminal investigation is likely to focus on finding the perpetrator. Long-term prognosis for clinical West Nile Virus infection. Frequently, one person with an illness knows or hears of others with the same illness. Taylor DN, Wachsmuth IK, Shangkuan YH, Schmidt EV, Barrett TJ, Schrader JS, et al. Mahoney FJ, Hoge CW, Farley TA, Barbaree JM, Breiman RF, Benson RF, McFarland LM. Environmental studies are equally important in some settings. In addition, investigators have sometimes found it useful to visit the homes of case-patients and look through their refrigerators and shelves for clues to an apparent foodborne outbreak. Without a proper denominator, attack rates cannot be calculated. Depending on the type of outbreak, the number of involved agencies may be quite large. Figure 6.5 Hepatitis A from Sub Shop Massachusetts, 2001. Efforts to prevent fecal-oral transmission often focus on rearranging the environment to reduce the risk of contamination in the future and on changing behaviors, such as promoting hand washing. Consider the following data from an outbreak of gastroenteritis among college football players. PDF Outbreak Investigation Guide - Arizona Department of Health Services Outbreak investigation is key for prompt, effective response to health emergencies. In a community outbreak, a random sample of the healthy population may, in theory, be the best control group. The shape of the epidemic curve is determined by the epidemic pattern (for example, common source versus propagated), the period of time over which susceptible persons are exposed, and the minimum, average, and maximum incubation periods for the disease. The population attributable risk percent describes the proportion of illness in the entire study population that could be attributable to a given exposure, assuming that those who became ill in the unexposed group and a similar proportion in the exposed group must be attributable to something else. In an outbreak of 50 or more cases, one control per case will usually suffice. Early (and continuing) analysis of descriptive data helps you to become familiar with those data, enabling you to identify and correct errors and missing values. When is the likely dates of exposure, based on the minimum incubation period before the first case? Beef, which had the highest attack rate among those who ate it, the lowest attack rate among those who did not eat it, and could account for almost all (53 of 57) of the cases, was indeed the culprit. Did this person ever go to Luverne? PDF Module 7: Outbreak Investigation & Disease Control - Outbreak Investigation The clinical criteria should be based on simple and objective measures such as fever 40C (101F), three or more loose bowel movements per day, or myalgias (muscle pain) severe enough to limit the patients usual activities. : Yes; Hospital Alerted: YesColumbia Medical Ctr; Admission Date: 9/18/2006; Lab Results: WB IgM+, WB IgG-; Comments: Erythema migrans; Physician Reporting: Dr. Fine; Phone: 555-1951; Date of Report: 11/24/06. Commonly, the investigator compares the attack rate in the exposed group to the attack rate in the unexposed group to measure the association between the exposure (e.g., the food item) and disease. Environmental inspection of the fairgrounds identified lack of chlorination of the well supplying water to that zone. An early case may represent a background or unrelated case, a source of the epidemic, or a person who was exposed earlier than most of the cases (for example, the cook who tasted a dish hours before bringing it to the big picnic).

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what is outbreak investigation

what is outbreak investigation